Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 215.195317 241.872901 271.358816 306.504777 347.435998 393.815639 450.650562
2025-02-16 171.598806 206.033384 247.366191 301.175704 370.174949 456.781348 575.478546
2025-02-23 147.146840 184.169573 231.010829 295.623133 384.037324 503.209726 680.288288
2025-03-02 134.242223 173.899091 226.331220 302.315331 412.352023 570.416457 823.399721
2025-03-09 122.136393 162.685824 218.260025 302.167254 429.642794 623.106694 953.824557
2025-03-16 110.736089 150.932761 207.695106 296.410706 436.840024 660.434256 1065.798303
2025-03-23 103.030319 143.479474 202.225826 297.113242 453.383576 714.192812 1215.731891
2025-03-30 94.854540 134.486821 193.421940 291.313396 458.125905 748.226471 1336.213130
2025-04-06 88.887095 128.218918 188.056248 290.194939 470.206881 796.436036 1494.119645
2025-04-13 81.136786 118.572463 176.517894 277.511987 460.199112 802.129914 1565.334502
2025-04-20 78.984017 117.460330 178.420376 287.726638 492.652187 893.841247 1845.349681
2025-04-27 77.307285 116.930592 181.149807 299.563060 529.625113 1001.005492 2191.515733
2025-05-04 73.375974 112.542613 177.225300 299.308328 543.754830 1064.535415 2454.192703
2025-05-11 68.675720 106.564556 170.128126 292.482473 543.837801 1097.657909 2648.632524
2025-05-18 64.692193 101.510720 164.222207 287.265502 546.470821 1136.955335 2873.196437
2025-05-25 62.827638 99.939803 164.338108 293.712248 574.944055 1243.211841 3335.696284
2025-06-01 60.164590 96.788648 161.327668 293.570418 588.755996 1315.961259 3721.594984
2025-06-08 56.984657 92.520452 155.937692 288.014588 589.395020 1354.741072 4008.489642
2025-06-15 54.868573 90.019734 153.658916 288.692672 604.757757 1436.357772 4485.774414
2025-06-22 52.129524 86.227078 148.658844 283.094358 604.189584 1473.454490 4810.413813
2025-06-29 50.128687 83.672537 145.866478 282.014660 614.706294 1545.111892 5311.719275
2025-07-06 46.981100 78.829507 138.309809 269.768822 595.312149 1523.328023 5401.608465
2025-07-13 46.498743 78.941506 140.530367 279.631777 634.744515 1692.799312 6457.777768